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I was just reading an interesting Forbes article on IT belt-tightening, and they talk about a number of measures you can take to reduce operating costs. It’s no surprise that they mention virtualization, and I wasn’t surprised to hear that inertia (i.e. doing nothing) is still a big obstacle.

“To be sure, virtualization significantly increases complexity. The 3,000-server reduction example took three years to implement and required highly skilled workers who weren’t easy to find, and failure to architect applications and storage correctly can lead to a dramatic reduction in availability. Given this risk and lack of time, many IT professionals cannot give virtualization the effort it requires to do well–so they end up doing nothing.”

I guess it’s no surprise that this phenomenon is playing out in IT – after all, how many things are on your “honey do” or “wanna do” list at home that never get done because it’s easier to put them off?

So, my question is this: what effect will the economic funk that’s happening now have on the virtualization market? A couple of likely scenarios:

  1. Organizations will use uncertainty as a reason to continue to put off infrastructure reduction projects, causing the virtualization market to flatten or decline.
  2. Organizations will use the uncertainty to drive economy and centralization through infrastructure reduction projects, thereby feeding the virtualization market.

Which do you think will happen? Or is there another option I’m missing?